A Layered Analysis of Change in the Current International Order

This research seeks to identify change within the current international order. To this end, the framework of "Causal Layered Analysis" (CLA) was employed, which, based on the type of change, is categorized into four layers: the litany, systemic, discursive, and mythic. The research method is mixed (qualitative and quantitative). Through library research and the use of an expert panel, the relevant indicators for change in all four layers were identified, and their level of importance within each layer was determined via a questionnaire. A purposively selected statistical population of 25 individuals completed the questionnaire. The results indicate that out of 69 identified indicators, 40 are in the litany layer, 14 in the systemic layer, 7 in the discursive layer, and 8 in the mythic layer. Furthermore, the systemic or structural layer, with an average of 4.863, received the highest mean score from respondents in the Friedman test. The prioritization of indicators also reveals that the indicator "the emergence of influential supra/sub-national actors affecting the structure of the international system" in the litany layer, the indicator "inefficiency of established regional and international institutions in the systematic management of global issues and affairs" in the systemic layer, the indicator "increased emphasis on justice-orientation in the procedures, approaches, discourses, and actions of international relations actors" in the discursive layer, and the indicator "the emergence of a self-aware and resistant human confronting coercion" ardiscursive layere considered the most significant indicators of change in the current international order.